Does the ICT Silver Bullet (NY AM window) strategy work?
We coded the ict silver bullet (ny am window) to exact mechanical rules and ran it on june 1, 2025 – june 1, 2026 (12 months) of real data with fees on. No discretion, losers published as losers. Here is the verified result.
Verified Result
No edge: net negative after costs across 4 markets.
| Market | TF | Trades | Win | PF | Max DD | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 5m | 101 | 27.7% | 0.58 | 33.6% | -30.1% |
| BTC | 5m | 110 | 30.9% | 0.55 | 34.5% | -32.3% |
| EUR (EURUSDT) | 5m | 54 | 25.9% | 0.21 | 35.8% | -35.0% |
| Gold (PAXG) | 5m | 128 | 30.5% | 0.47 | 48.0% | -45.3% |
How the SVS 24 breaks down ▾
12 months of real 1-minute data, fees on (0.05%/side), $10k start, 1% risk. How the score works →
The exact rules tested
- Only between 10:00–11:00 New York time, enter on an FVG retrace; structure stop; 2R target; flat at session end
How to read this
This is the mechanical floor — what the rules alone produced after costs, with zero discretion. A low score doesn’t mean the idea is worthless; it’s the baseline your filtering and judgement have to beat. The SVS methodology explains exactly how the score is built.
Test your own version of this
Add a trend filter, a session window, or a confluence and see if you can beat the floor. Describe it in plain English and the AI backtester runs it on real data.
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Is the ICT Silver Bullet (NY AM window) strategy profitable?
No edge: net negative after costs across 4 markets. Across 4 markets and 393 trades with fees on, it had a profit factor of 0.48 and an average net return of -35.7%.
What is the win rate of the ICT Silver Bullet (NY AM window) strategy?
29.3% across all tested markets. Note that win rate alone is misleading — with a fixed reward-to-risk target, a mechanically negative strategy can still win 30–45% of the time.
How was the ICT Silver Bullet (NY AM window) strategy tested?
Coded to exact mechanical rules and run on June 1, 2025 – June 1, 2026 (12 months) of real 1-minute data, fees on (0.05% per side), $10,000 start, 1% risk per trade, on Secuora's deterministic engine. No discretion.