Does the Break of structure (BOS) strategy work?

We coded the break of structure (bos) to exact mechanical rules and ran it on june 1, 2025 – june 1, 2026 (12 months) of real data with fees on. No discretion, losers published as losers. Here is the verified result.

Secuora Verification

Verified Result

55/ 100
Conditional Edge

Conditional: profitable in 2 of 4 markets, not a standalone edge.

Markets tested
4
Markets profitable
2 / 4
Total trades
561
Win rate
37.4%
Profit factor
0.96
Avg net P&L
-3.5%
Avg max drawdown
26.4%
Best market
Gold (PAXG) +25.8%
MarketTFTradesWinPFMax DDNet
Gold (PAXG)15m16844.0%1.2314.5%+25.8%
ETH15m9942.4%1.3412.5%+24.5%
BTC15m16830.4%0.7538.3%-29.4%
EUR (EURUSDT)15m12634.1%0.6240.3%-34.9%
How the SVS 55 breaks down ▾
Edge (profit factor)
14.2 / 35
Robustness (markets)
10 / 20
Sample size
18.3 / 20
Drawdown control
8.4 / 15
Consistency
4.2 / 10

12 months of real 1-minute data, fees on (0.05%/side), $10k start, 1% risk. How the score works →

The exact rules tested

  • Enter on a confirmed break of the most recent swing high (long) or swing low (short); structure stop; 2R target

How to read this

This is the mechanical floor — what the rules alone produced after costs, with zero discretion. A low score doesn’t mean the idea is worthless; it’s the baseline your filtering and judgement have to beat. The SVS methodology explains exactly how the score is built.

Test your own version of this

Add a trend filter, a session window, or a confluence and see if you can beat the floor. Describe it in plain English and the AI backtester runs it on real data.

Open the AI backtester →

Questions

Is the Break of structure (BOS) strategy profitable?

Conditional: profitable in 2 of 4 markets, not a standalone edge. Across 4 markets and 561 trades with fees on, it had a profit factor of 0.96 and an average net return of -3.5%.

What is the win rate of the Break of structure (BOS) strategy?

37.4% across all tested markets. Note that win rate alone is misleading — with a fixed reward-to-risk target, a mechanically negative strategy can still win 30–45% of the time.

How was the Break of structure (BOS) strategy tested?

Coded to exact mechanical rules and run on June 1, 2025 – June 1, 2026 (12 months) of real 1-minute data, fees on (0.05% per side), $10,000 start, 1% risk per trade, on Secuora's deterministic engine. No discretion.

More ICT / Smart Money strategies, verified